When we survey NCAA student-athletes about their expectations of moving on to professional athletics careers, the results indicate surprising confidence in that possibility. This is apparent in many sports (see table below), but most starkly in men’s basketball where 76% of Division I, 48% of Division II and 21% of Division III competitors believe they have a chance to play at the next level.
The reality is that very few high school seniors move on to play in the NCAA (3 to 11% in the sports shown) and generally smaller percentages (fewer than 2% in most sports) go from NCAA athletics to being drafted in their sport. That means only about 1 in 3,300 high school basketball players and 1 in 1,200 football players can expect to hear their name eventually called on draft night — long odds indeed.
Download a PDF of this Extra Point: So, you are telling me there is a chance
(Published December 2013)